DETERMINANTS OF CO2 EMISSIONS IN MALAYSIA: AN EKC ANALYSIS

Authors

  • NUR RAUDHAH ZAKARIA Department of Postgraduate and Professional Studies, Universiti of Teknologi MARA, Selangor, Malaysia.
  • SITI AYU JALIL Department of Economics and Financial Studies, Universiti of Teknologi MARA, Selangor, Malaysia.
  • LEYLAWATI JOREMI Department of Economics and Financial Studies, Universiti of Teknologi MARA, Selangor, Malaysia.
  • MUHAMAD SUKOR JAAFAR Department of Economics and Financial Studies, Universiti of Teknologi MARA, Selangor, Malaysia.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55197/qjssh.v7si4.1540

Keywords:

CO2 emissions, EKC, GDP, energy consumption, imports, exports

Abstract

CO₂ emissions remain a major challenge to Malaysia’s sustainable development and transition toward a green economy. This study examines the determinants of CO₂ emissions in Malaysia from 1990–2024, focusing on GDP, energy consumption, and trade (imports and exports of goods and services). Guided by the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) framework, the study investigates the long-run effects of these variables on environmental quality. Using annual data from the World Bank and econometric techniques including the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), cointegration, and regression analyses, the findings show that GDP, energy consumption, and imports significantly increase CO₂ emissions, supporting the inverted U-shaped EKC hypothesis. Exports exhibit mixed effects, with stronger impacts at higher emission levels, while energy consumption acts as a key channel through which trade influences environmental degradation. The results highlight the need for green economy strategies that promote energy efficiency and sustainable trade practices to decouple economic growth from environmental degradation. Despite being limited to data available up to 2024, the study provides valuable evidence for policymakers seeking to align Malaysia’s economic and trade objectives with international carbon reduction commitments.

References

[1] Aghasafari, H., Aminizadeh, M., Karbasi, A., Calisti, R. (2021): CO2 emissions, export and foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence from Middle East and North Africa Region. – The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development 30(7): 1054-1076

[2] Abdul-Aziz, A.R. (2023): From Rio Earth Summit to COP26: Malaysia’s pledges, political leadership, policies, administrative apparatus and performance. – IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1238(1): 8p.

[3] Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Leitão, N.C., Cantos-Cantos, J.M. (2023): The environmental Kuznets curve and renewable energy consumption: Panel data evidence from the EU-5 countries. – Environmental Science and Pollution Research 30(12): 33602-33614.

[4] Chen, Y., Wang, Z., Zhong, Z. (2019): CO2 emissions, economic growth, renewable and non-renewable energy production and foreign trade in China. – Renewable Energy 131: 208-216.

[5] Dickey, D.A., Fuller, W.A. (1979): Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. – Journal of the American Statistical Association 74(366): 427-431

[6] Karim, B.A., Abdul Karim, Z., Mohd Shukri, M.H. (2017): Determinants of Islamic bank financing in Malaysia: an empirical study using linear and nonlinear ARDL model. – Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia 51(2): 15-22.

[7] Narayan, P.K. (2005): The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests. – Applied Economics 37(17): 1979-1990.

[8] Raihan, A., Begum, R.A., Said, M.N.M., Pereira, J.J. (2022): Relationship between economic growth, renewable energy use, technological innovation, and carbon emission toward achieving Malaysia’s Paris agreement. – Environment Systems and Decisions 42(4): 586-607.

[9] Ridzuan, N.H.A., Ismail, N.W. (2022): Trade openness and CO2 emissions in Malaysia: An ARDL bounds testing approach. – International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy 12(3): 418-425.

[10] Sharif, A., Baris-Tuzemen, O., Uzuner, G., Ozturk, I., Sinha, A. (2020): Revisiting the role of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on Turkey’s ecological footprint: evidence from Quantile ARDL approach. – Sustainable Cities and Society 57: 25p.

Downloads

Published

2026-07-30

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

DETERMINANTS OF CO2 EMISSIONS IN MALAYSIA: AN EKC ANALYSIS. (2026). Quantum Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities, 7(SI4), 30-38. https://doi.org/10.55197/qjssh.v7si4.1540